Contreras C, Edwards G, Mizala A , "The Current Impact Factor and the long-term impact of scientific journals by discipline: A logistic diffusion model estimation " SCIENTOMETRICS 69 (3): 689-695 DEC 2006

[Eugene Garfield]

E-mail Addresses: gedwards at faceapus.cl 

Title: The Current Impact Factor and the long-term impact of scientific 
journals by discipline: A logistic diffusion model estimation 

Author(s): Contreras C (Contreras, Claudia), Edwards G (Edwards, Gonzalo), 
Mizala A (Mizala, Alejandra) 

Source: SCIENTOMETRICS 69 (3): 689-695 DEC 2006 

Document Type: Article 
Language: English 
Cited References: 7      Times Cited: 0        

Abstract: 
This paper estimates the long-term impact of journals aggregated in 24 
different fields, using a simple logistic diffusion model, and relates the 
results to the current impact factor. Results show that while the current 
and the long-term impact factors have a high cot-relation coefficient, some 
fields are systematically slower-moving than others, as they often differ 
in the proportion of the overall impact through time that occurs in the 
short term. 

Addresses: Edwards G (reprint author), Catholic Univ Chile, Inst Econ, 
Santiago, Chile
Catholic Univ Chile, Inst Econ, Santiago, Chile
Natl Commiss Sci & Technol Res, Bicentennial Program Sci & Technol, Chilean 
Observ Sci Technol & Innovat, Santiago, Chile
Univ Chile, Dept Ind Engn, Ctr Appl Econ, Santiago, Chile

E-mail Addresses: gedwards at faceapus.cl 

Publisher: SPRINGER, VAN GODEWIJCKSTRAAT 30, 3311 GZ DORDRECHT, NETHERLANDS 

IDS Number: 114NF 

ISSN: 0138-9130

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