[Sigmetrics] Need Help: Positioning the "Black Swan Theory" in Scientometrics

Lietz, Haiko Haiko.Lietz at gesis.org
Thu Aug 20 04:08:19 EDT 2015

Good question!

I think that, in general, it's about power laws, and in particular, about self-organized criticality. Some takes:

Anthony F. J. van Raan
On Growth, Ageing, and Fractal Differentiation of Science
February 2000, Volume 47, Issue 2, pp 347-362

L. Leydesdorff, P. Van Den Besselaar
Scientometrics and communication theory: Towards theoretically informed indicators
January 1997, Volume 38, Issue 1, pp 155-174

Gregory G. Brunk
Swarming of innovations, fractal patterns, and the historical time series of US patents
2003, Volume 56, Issue 1, pp 61-80

Amin Mazloumian, Young-Ho Eom, Dirk Helbing, Sergi Lozano, Santo Fortunato
How Citation Boosts Promote Scientific Paradigm Shifts and Nobel Prizes
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018975

Happy to see more...


-----Ursprüngliche Nachricht-----
Von: SIGMETRICS [mailto:sigmetrics-bounces at asis.org] Im Auftrag von Gopal T V
Gesendet: Donnerstag, 20. August 2015 06:45
An: sigmetrics at mail.asis.org
Betreff: [Sigmetrics] Need Help: Positioning the "Black Swan Theory" in Scientometrics
Wichtigkeit: Hoch

Dear All,

You may be aware that the black swan theory or theory of black swan events
is a metaphor that describes events of large magnitude that come as a
surprise, have a major effect, and are often inappropriately
rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

Such events, considered extreme outliers precipitate what is usually
termed "Silent Risk".



Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Silent Risk, Descartes Publishing, 2015.

Please note that all DesCartes books and monographs are required to be
freely available in PDF form.


I am trying to locate references on factoring the "Black Swan Theory" in
the evolving gamut of Scientometrics.

Please help.

Warmest Regards

Gopal T V
0 98401 21302

PS: I suppose the subject line header for the messages from our new list
server can also be [SIGMETRICS]. Presently, it is [Sigmetrics].
Dr. T V Gopal
Department of Computer Science and Engineering
College of Engineering
Anna University
Chennai - 600 025, INDIA
Ph : (Off) 22351723 Extn. 3340
      (Res) 24454753
Home Page : http://www.annauniv.edu/staff/gopal

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