Lin, BW; Chen, CJ; Wu, HL Predicting citations to biotechnology patents based on the information from the patent documents INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT, 40 (1-3): 87-100 2007

[Eugene Garfield]

E-mail Address: bwlin at mx.nthu.edu.tw; chungjen at mail.ncku.edu.tw; 
wuhl at mail.ncku.edu.tw 

Author(s): Lin, BW (Lin, Bou-Wen); Chen, CJ (Chen, Chung-Jen); Wu, HL (Wu, 
Hsueh-Liang) 

Title: Predicting citations to biotechnology patents based on the 
information from the patent documents 

Source: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT, 40 (1-3): 87-100 
2007 

Language: English 

Document Type: Article 

Author Keywords: patent citation; biotechnology; patent documents; R&D 
performance 

Keywords Plus: PHARMACEUTICAL-INDUSTRY; KNOWLEDGE; TECHNOLOGY; INNOVATION; 
SCIENCE; PERFORMANCE; INDICATORS; FIRMS; MANAGEMENT; NETWORKS 

Abstract: The purpose of this study is to develop a simple and robust 
model for predicting citations to a patent based on the information from 
the front page of the patent documents. The number of citations received 
is frequently used as an indicator of the value and importance of a 
patent. However, it takes a long time for a patent to accumulate a large 
number of citations from later patents. Highly cited patents may well be 
very old and accordingly may not represent cutting-edge technology. If we 
can predict the pattern of citations to a patent right after it is 
granted, the tradability of patents will be greatly enhanced. This paper 
provides a simple regression model to predict citations to biotechnology 
patents from the front pages of patent documents. The model can be used as 
a supplementary evaluation tool in mergers and acquisitions, strategic 
technology planning, valuation of high-tech firms and R&D performance 
evaluation. 

Addresses: Natl Tsing Hua Univ, Inst Technol Management, Hsinchu 30013, 
Taiwan; Natl Cheng Kung Univ, Dept Business Adm, Tainan 70101, Taiwan 

Reprint Address: Lin, BW, Natl Tsing Hua Univ, Inst Technol Management, 
101 Sec 2,Kuan Fu Rd, Hsinchu 30013, Taiwan. 

E-mail Address: bwlin at mx.nthu.edu.tw; chungjen at mail.ncku.edu.tw; 
wuhl at mail.ncku.edu.tw 

Cited Reference Count: 39 

Times Cited: 0 

Publisher: INDERSCIENCE ENTERPRISES LTD 

Publisher Address: WORLD TRADE CENTER BLDG, 29 ROUTE DE PRE-BOIS, CASE 
POSTALE 896, CH-1215 GENEVA, SWITZERLAND 

ISSN: 0267-5730 

29-char Source Abbrev.: INT J TECHNOL MANAGE 
ISO Source Abbrev.: Int. J. Technol. Manage. 

Source Item Page Count: 14 

Subject Category: Engineering, Multidisciplinary; Management; Operations 
Research & Management Science 

ISI Document Delivery No.: 210ZK 

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