Ramanana-Rahary, S et al Aggregation properties of relative impact and other classical indicators: Convexity issues and the Yule-Simpson paradox PROC OF ISSI 2007: 11TH INTL CONF OF THE ISSI, VOLS I AND II 643-654, 2007

Eugene Garfield garfield at CODEX.CIS.UPENN.EDU
Fri Jan 18 12:13:28 EST 2008


Email address: suzy.ramanana at obs-ost.fr

Author(s): Ramanana-Rahary, S (Ramanana-Rahary, Suzy); Zitt, M (Zitt, 
Michel); Rousseau, R (Rousseau, Ronald) 

Title: Aggregation properties of relative impact and other classical 
indicators: Convexity issues and the Yule-Simpson paradox 

Editor(s): TorresSalinas, D; Moed, HF 

Source: PROCEEDINGS OF ISSI 2007: 11TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE 
INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR SCIENTOMETRICS AND INFORMETRICS, VOLS I AND II 
643-654, 2007 

Language: English 
Document Type: Article
 
Conference Title: 11th International Conference of the International-
Society-for-Scientrometrics-and-Informetrics 

Conference Date: JUN 25-27, 2007 

Conference Location: Madrid, SPAIN 

Conference Sponsors: Int Soc Scientrometr & Informetr, CSIC, Minist Educ & 
Ciencia, FECYT, Comunidad Madrid, Eugene Garfield Fdn, Thomson Sci, 
Elsevier, Journal Informetr, Scopus, Ayuntamiento Madrid, Sci Metrix, Univ 
Carlos III Madrid 

Author Keywords: Yule-Simpson paradox; convexity; impact measures; 
research evaluation 

KeyWords Plus: INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC COLLABORATION; CITATION; SCIENCE 

Abstract: Among classical bibliometric indicators, direct and relative 
impact measures for countries or other players in science are appealing 
and standard. Yet, as shown in this article, they may exhibit undesirable 
statistical properties, or at least ones that pose questions of 
interpretation in evaluation and benchmarking contexts. In this article, 
we address two such properties namely sensitivity to the Yule-Simpson 
effect, and a problem related to convexity. The Yule-Simpson effect can 
occur for direct impacts and, in a variant form, for relative impact, 
causing an apparent incoherence between field values and the aggregate 
(all-fields) value. For relative impacts, it may result in a severe form 
of 'out-range' of aggregate values, where a player's relative impact 
shifts from 'good' to 'bad', or conversely. Out-range and lack of 
convexity in general are typical of relative impact indicators. Using 
empirical data, we suggest that, for relative impact measures, 'out-range' 
due to lack of convexity is not exceptional. The Yule-Simpson effect is 
less frequent, and especially occurs for small players with particular 
specialisation profiles. 

Addresses: Observ Sci & Tech OST, Paris, France. 

Publisher Name: INT SOC SCIENTOMETRICS & INFORMETRICS-ISSI 
Publisher Address: KATHOLIEKE UNIV LEUVEN, FACULTEIT E T E W, DEKENSTRAAT 
2, LEUVEN, B-3000, BELGIUM 

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