Ramanana-Rahary, S et al Aggregation properties of relative impact and other classical indicators: Convexity issues and the Yule-Simpson paradox PROC OF ISSI 2007: 11TH INTL CONF OF THE ISSI, VOLS I AND II 643-654, 2007
Eugene Garfield
garfield at CODEX.CIS.UPENN.EDU
Fri Jan 18 12:13:28 EST 2008
Email address: suzy.ramanana at obs-ost.fr
Author(s): Ramanana-Rahary, S (Ramanana-Rahary, Suzy); Zitt, M (Zitt,
Michel); Rousseau, R (Rousseau, Ronald)
Title: Aggregation properties of relative impact and other classical
indicators: Convexity issues and the Yule-Simpson paradox
Editor(s): TorresSalinas, D; Moed, HF
Source: PROCEEDINGS OF ISSI 2007: 11TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE
INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR SCIENTOMETRICS AND INFORMETRICS, VOLS I AND II
643-654, 2007
Language: English
Document Type: Article
Conference Title: 11th International Conference of the International-
Society-for-Scientrometrics-and-Informetrics
Conference Date: JUN 25-27, 2007
Conference Location: Madrid, SPAIN
Conference Sponsors: Int Soc Scientrometr & Informetr, CSIC, Minist Educ &
Ciencia, FECYT, Comunidad Madrid, Eugene Garfield Fdn, Thomson Sci,
Elsevier, Journal Informetr, Scopus, Ayuntamiento Madrid, Sci Metrix, Univ
Carlos III Madrid
Author Keywords: Yule-Simpson paradox; convexity; impact measures;
research evaluation
KeyWords Plus: INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC COLLABORATION; CITATION; SCIENCE
Abstract: Among classical bibliometric indicators, direct and relative
impact measures for countries or other players in science are appealing
and standard. Yet, as shown in this article, they may exhibit undesirable
statistical properties, or at least ones that pose questions of
interpretation in evaluation and benchmarking contexts. In this article,
we address two such properties namely sensitivity to the Yule-Simpson
effect, and a problem related to convexity. The Yule-Simpson effect can
occur for direct impacts and, in a variant form, for relative impact,
causing an apparent incoherence between field values and the aggregate
(all-fields) value. For relative impacts, it may result in a severe form
of 'out-range' of aggregate values, where a player's relative impact
shifts from 'good' to 'bad', or conversely. Out-range and lack of
convexity in general are typical of relative impact indicators. Using
empirical data, we suggest that, for relative impact measures, 'out-range'
due to lack of convexity is not exceptional. The Yule-Simpson effect is
less frequent, and especially occurs for small players with particular
specialisation profiles.
Addresses: Observ Sci & Tech OST, Paris, France.
Publisher Name: INT SOC SCIENTOMETRICS & INFORMETRICS-ISSI
Publisher Address: KATHOLIEKE UNIV LEUVEN, FACULTEIT E T E W, DEKENSTRAAT
2, LEUVEN, B-3000, BELGIUM
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