Hyper-incursion and the Globalization of the Knowledge-Based Economy

Loet Leydesdorff loet at LEYDESDORFF.NET
Fri Jun 3 04:44:39 EDT 2005

Hyper-incursion and the Globalization  <http://www.leydesdorff.net/casys05>
of the

Knowledge-Based  <http://www.leydesdorff.net/casys05> Economy


Invited Paper for the Seventh International Conference on

Computing Anticipatory Systems CASYS’05, Liège, Belgium

August 8-13, 2005

 <http://www.leydesdorff.net/casys05/casys05.pdf> <click here for pdf>




In biological systems, the capacity of anticipation—that is, entertaining a
model of the system within the system—can be considered as naturally given.
Human languages enable psychological systems to construct and exchange
mental models of themselves and their environments reflexively, that is,
provide meaning to the events. At the level of the social system
expectations can further be codified. When these codifications are
functionally differentiated—like between market mechanisms and scientific
research programs—the potential asynchronicity in the update among the
subsystems provides room for a second anticipatory mechanism at the level of
the transversal information exchange among differently codified
meaning-processing subsystems. Interactions between the two different
anticipatory mechanisms (the transversal one and the one along the time axis
in each subsystem) may lead to co-evolutions and stabilization of
expectations along trajectories. The wider horizon of knowledgeable
expectations can be expected to meta-stabilize and also globalize a
previously stabilized configuration of expectations against the axis of
time. This recursive incursion on the incursive dynamics of expectations can
be modeled using hyper-incursion. The knowledge-based subdynamic at the
global level which thus emerges, enables historical agents to inform the
reconstruction of previous states and to co-construct future states of the
social system, for example, in a techno-economic co-evolution.


** apologies for cross-postings


Loet Leydesdorff
Honory Chair of the City of Lausanne (March - July)
Université de Lausanne, School of Economics (HEC),
BFSH 1, 1015 Lausanne-Dorigny, Switzerland
Amsterdam School of Communications Research (ASCoR)
Kloveniersburgwal 48, 1012 CX  Amsterdam
Tel.: +31-20-525 6598; fax: +31-20-525 3681
 <mailto:loet at leydesdorff.net> loet at leydesdorff.net;
<http://www.leydesdorff.net/> http://www.leydesdorff.net

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