[Sigia-l] Nielsen: It's the end!

[Listera]

Andrew Boyd:

>> You've heard'em before, the arrogantly confident prediction turns out be
>> laughingly wrong.
>> 
> Here's a confident statement for you: "The frequency of accuracy in
> prediction is not related to the relative arrogance of the predictor".
> IMMHO, just because someone is obnoxious does not mean that they are
> invariably wrong (or right, for that matter). The natural human tendancy
> is to confuse opinion with fact more and more as the predictor rises in
> his or her profession. This guarantees entertaining debates on this and
> many other mailing lists. :)

To be sure. :-)

Incidentally, when I said "arrogantly confident prediction" I meant exactly
that. Since, in this case, I don't personally know J Nielsen I have no idea
if he's arrogant in person or not, and I don't care one way or the other.
What I do care is the constant stream of edicts and predictions coming from
his direction that are just plain wrong that make my life in the design
profession that much more difficult.

Sure as Eric will "correct" me in a couple of hours from down under :-) I
will spend a minimum of 10 hours in the next few weeks explaining to some
manager why we haven't "reached the limits of the current GUI paradigm."
Unfortunately I can't bill NN/G for those unnecessary hours. :-)

---- 
Ziya

Best Practices,
For when you've run out of your own ideas and context.