Does Quality Matter for Citedness? A comparison with para-textual factors and over time. (preprint)

Loet Leydesdorff loet at LEYDESDORFF.NET
Tue Dec 16 09:16:40 EST 2014

Does Quality Matter for Citedness? A comparison with para-textual factors
and over time


Lutz Bornmann* and Loet Leydesdorff


Abstract: Using (binomial) regression analysis, we run models using citation
windows of one to ten years with both annual citation and cumulative
citations as dependent variables, and with both bibliometric and quality
indicators (judgments of peers) as independent variables. The bibliometric
variables are the journal impact factor (JIF) of the publication medium, the
numbers of authors and pages, and the statistical citedness of the
references used within the paper. We find that the JIF and the number of
authors have a larger influence on the citation impact of a publication than
the quality (measured by judgments of peers). However, the number of pages
and the quality of the references are less influential. The influence of JIF
and the number of authors peaks after three years and then declines, but
remains higher than the influence of quality even after ten years. These
results call into question a discrepancy between the algorithmically based
indicators and the qualitative judgments by experts. The latter seems less
predictive for future citation than a combination of algorithmic constructs.


Preprint available at:


** apologies for cross-postings 



Loet Leydesdorff 

Emeritus University of Amsterdam
Amsterdam School of Communications Research (ASCoR)

 <mailto:loet at> loet at ;
Honorary Professor,  <> SPRU, University of

Guest Professor  <> Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou;
Visiting Professor,  <> ISTIC,

Visiting Professor,  <> Birkbeck, University of London;



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