Frogel, JA. 2010. Astronomy's Greatest Hits: The 100 Most Cited Papers in Each Year of the First Decade of the 21st Century (2000-2009). PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF THE PACIFIC 122 (896): 1214-1235
Eugene Garfield
garfield at CODEX.CIS.UPENN.EDU
Mon Nov 8 12:09:56 EST 2010
Frogel, JA. 2010. Astronomy's Greatest Hits: The 100 Most Cited Papers in Each
Year of the First Decade of the 21st Century (2000-2009). PUBLICATIONS OF
THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF THE PACIFIC 122 (896): 1214-1235.
Author Full Name(s): Frogel, Jay A.
Language: English
Document Type: Article
KeyWords Plus: DIGITAL SKY SURVEY; PROBE WMAP OBSERVATIONS; HUBBLE-
SPACE-TELESCOPE; CITATION RATES; IMPACT FACTOR; DATA RELEASE; X-
RAY; FACILITIES; PRODUCTIVITY; GALAXIES
Abstract: The first decade of the 21st century and the last few years of the
20th have been transformative for ground- and space-based observational
astronomy due to new observing facilities, access to digital archives, and
growth in use of the Internet for communication and dissemination of
information and for access to the archives. How have these three factors
affected the characteristics and content of papers published in refereed
astronomical journals, as well as the journals themselves? In this and
subsequent papers I will propose answers to this question. The analysis in this,
the first paper of a series, is based on an examination of the 100 most cited
papers in astronomy and astrophysics for each year between 2000 and 2009,
inclusive, and supplemental data from 1995 and 1990. The main findings of this
analysis are: Over the 10 yr period the total number of authors of the top-100
articles year(-1) has more than tripled. This increase is seen most strongly in
papers with more than six authors. The number of unique authors in any given
year has more than doubled. The yearly number of papers with five or fewer
authors has declined over the same time period. Averaged over the 10 yr period
the normalized number of authors per paper increases steadily with citation
rank-the most highly cited papers tend to have the largest number of authors
and vice versa. This increase is especially notable for papers ranked 1 through
20 in terms of number of citations and number of authors. The distribution of
normalized citation counts versus ranking is remarkably constant from year to
year and, except for the top-ranked half-dozen or so papers in each year, is
very closely approximated by a power law. Nearly all of the papers that show
the most divergence from the power-law fit-all in the sense of having a high
number of citations-are based on the results of large observational surveys.
Among the top-100 papers there is a small but significant correlation of paper
length with citation rank. More striking, though, is that the average page
length of the top-100 papers is one and a half times that for astronomy papers
in general. For every year from 2000 to 2008, the same five journals account
for 80 to 85% of the total citations for each year from all of the journals in the
category of "Astronomy and Astrophysics" by ISI's Journal Citation Reports.
These numbers do not include Nature or Science. Averaged over the 10 yr time
period studied in this article, these same five journals account for 77% of the
1000 most cited papers, slightly less than the journals' fractional contribution
to the total number of articles published by all journals. The five journals are
A&A, AJ, ApJ, ApJS, and MNRAS. Two samples of the top-100 cited papers,
both for the 6 yr from 2001 to 2006 but compiled 2.5 yr apart, show that a
significant number of articles originally ranked in the top 100 for the year, drop
out, and are replaced by other articles as time passes. Most of the dropouts
address topics in extragalactic astronomy; their replacements for the most part
deal with non-extra-galactic topics. Finally, some additional findings are noted
that relate to the entire ensemble of astronomical journals published during the
century's first decade. Various indicators of Internet access to astronomical
Web sites such as data archives and journal repositories show increases of
between factors of 3 and 10 or more.
I propose that there are close complementarities between the communication
capabilities that Internet usage enables and the strong growth in numbers of
authors of th most highly cited papers. Subsequent papers will examine this and
other interpretations of the analysis presented here in detail.
Addresses: Assoc Univ Res Astron Inc, Washington, DC 20005 USA
Reprint Address: Frogel, JA, Assoc Univ Res Astron Inc, 1212 New York Ave
NW,Suite 450, Washington, DC 20005 USA.
E-mail Address: jfrogel at AURA-astronomy.org
ISSN: 0004-6280
fulltext: http://arxiv.org/abs/1005.5377
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