Hirsch, JE (Hirsch, J. E.) Does the h index have predictive power? PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 104 (49): 19193-19198 DEC 4 2007

[Eugene Garfield]

E-mail Address: jhirsch at ucsd.edu 

Author(s): Hirsch, JE (Hirsch, J. E.) 

Title: Does the h index have predictive power? 

Source: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED 
STATES OF AMERICA, 104 (49): 19193-19198 DEC 4 2007 

Language: English 
Document Type: Article 

Author Keywords: citations; prediction; achievement 

Keywords Plus: SCIENTISTS 

Abstract: Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are 
of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. 
Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of 
the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the 
h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, 
citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future 
scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h 
index. 

Addresses: Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Phys, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA 

Reprint Address: Hirsch, JE, Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Phys, La Jolla, CA 
92093 USA. 

E-mail Address: jhirsch at ucsd.edu 

Times Cited: 0 

Publisher: NATL ACAD SCIENCES 
Publisher Address: 2101 CONSTITUTION AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20418 USA 

ISSN: 0027-8424 

Cited Reference Count: 14 

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