[Sigia-l] Nielsen: It's the end!

[Andrew Boyd]

Listera wrote:

>You've heard'em before, the arrogantly confident prediction turns out be
>laughingly wrong. 
>
Here's a confident statement for you: "The frequency of accuracy in 
prediction is not related to the relative arrogance of the predictor". 
IMMHO, just because someone is obnoxious does not mean that they are 
invariably wrong (or right, for that matter). The natural human tendancy 
is to confuse opinion with fact more and more as the predictor rises in 
his or her profession. This guarantees entertaining debates on this and 
many other mailing lists. :)

Cheers, Andrew

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