[Sigia-l] unemployed?

Ziya Oz ZiyaOz at earthlink.net
Sun Jun 2 19:48:55 EDT 2002


"PeterV" wrote:

> Would you say that's a fair-ish assesment of
> the job market (or am I missing something?)

For NYC, that's the optimistic scenario.
Now for a slightly depressing one: :-)

On a single day last September, we lost more office space than all office
space combined in San Francisco. We lost more than 100,000 jobs in downtown
alone, which is roughly the size of the Financial District in San Francisco.
Many companies moved out, many closed doors and many went through fairly
deep structural changes. That process is still going on and, I'm afraid, in
sectors like finance it's far from over. I've been in NYC for a long time,
this situation has no comparison for the tech industry.

Nevertheless, there's an attitude that assumes that 'things will get back to
normal once the market gets back on its feet.' That's denial.

I thinks, sectors, companies, positions will get further consolidated. IA,
as an 'in-between' proto-profession, may be one of them.

In the early days, webmasters did everything. For the 'static web',
designers did most of the stuff. For the 'dynamic web', programmers took
over. For a brief period when we could afford large budgets, everybody,
including IAs, got in on the act. In the end, there were way too many
players. 

What are the trends? If smaller projects/teams are in the future, does that
increase or decrease the likelihood of positions being created for IAs? Is
it more or less likely that 'adjacent' disciplines (designers, developers,
project managers, business analyst, etc) will ultimately incorporate what
IAs offer by way of expanding their influence and domain? IA may be
important in the future, but does that necessarily mean so will IAs as
distinct professionals ?

It's one hell of a gorgeous day in and around NY today, so I'll stop there.
:-)

Best,

Ziya





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